Wednesday, 4 February 2015

National Bank overestimates financial markets stability

The National Bank’s antirecessionary measures adopted in late December 2014 relieved the currency market to some extent. In February 2015, some restrictions in the banking sector will be lifted in order to demonstrate that the financial system is under control. However, the fragile stability on the financial market requires substantial foreign borrowing to sustain. 
In late December 2014, aiming to stabilise the financial market situation, the National Bank adopted a number of measures, envisaging to restrict the demand for foreign currency in order to preserve the international reserves’ levels. These measures included restricting foreign currency sales to the population by the amounts supplied by the population. A tax on buying foreign currency had been introduced which was later waived. An additional factor, which has reduced the demand for foreign currency, was the introduction of price regulation, which, in turn, led to importers stopping their activity, and, reducing the foreign currency demand on the forex.

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