Monday, 9 February 2015

FOREX: Gold takes a heavy fall

The reaffirmed optimism that the Federal Reserve will be raising interest rates at some point this year following another strong US Non-Farm Payroll led to the USD rallying throughout the remainder of trading on Friday. The strengthening USD demand also spelled bad news for Gold bulls with the metal being punished and declining by $40 to $1228, its lowest valuation since the shock from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) last month. The concerns that were beginning to emerge regarding US interest rates expectations being pushed back beyond the second half of the year have basically been eased following the employment report, with this meaning appetite towards the USD amongst traders is returning. Strengthening USD demand wasn’t only restricted to Gold coming under punishment, with the USDJPY extending to a near-one month high at 119.215. 
However, the pair has already pulled back to 118.725 at the time of writing following trade date from China overnight rekindling concerns over economic momentum slowing down. On an annualised basis, imports to China declined by a whopping 19.9% with reduced domestic momentum continuing to be seen as the main catalyst behind a slowdown in overall economic growth. The forecasts for the import data was a 3% decline, so the figure being unexpectedly announced six times worse than expectations is likely to trigger renewed pressure on the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) to implement further economic stimulus measures beyond the reserve ratio requirement cut late last week.  

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